Taliban control of Afghanistan: what does it mean for Nigeria?


After the President of the United States announced plans to withdraw US and NATO troops by August, the Taliban has taken over the seat of power in Afghanistan. This is no longer news.

However, as the US military began to withdraw gradually on August 1, the originally expected three-month takeover became a complete takeover of the Taliban in less than three weeks.

In public announcement On Monday, US President Joe Biden said, “I firmly support my decision.”

“Twenty years later, I learned with difficulty that there has never been a good time to withdraw American troops.”

“As your president, the choice I have to make is to comply with the agreement or go back and prepare to fight the Taliban again in the middle of the spring fighting season.”

He also accused Afghan political elites of giving up and fleeing the country on the grounds that the Afghan army had collapsed and did not try to fight.

Earlier reports said that the ceasefire agreement being negotiated in Qatar broke down after the resignation of President Ashraf Ghani, which would pave the way for a power-sharing agreement.

The collapse of Afghanistan should be a lesson for Nigeria’s political leaders. Although the United States spent billions of dollars to fund and train the Afghan army, the Taliban surrendered without a fight due to issues such as culture, loyalty to Kabul, and serious corruption of the Afghan political elite.

Nigeria is also fighting a similar battle against terrorist ideas and bullets, because the country faces a terrorist war on three fronts, Boko Haram, ISWAP and “bandits” in the northwest. Similar land cases are controlled by ISWAP , They manage, have a governor, and collect taxes from the locals.

Confidence MacHarry, a security analyst at SBM Intelligence, said that the Taliban’s victory is a moral incentive for many groups that want the same thing, and Boko Haram is one of them. “But I don’t think this will change the operation of the latter,” He added.

What should the Nigerian army do to ensure that ISWAP has no confidence?

McHarry says “This is not just a problem for the military. It is also a problem faced by governments at all levels.

“Some communities in Borno and Yobe performed better under the control of ISWAP and therefore provided them with support. The government needs to ask itself some important questions as to why this is happening.

“What if the governor needs to reduce the rate of increase in Sharia/Islamic law to prevent the growth of ideologies?

“Hisbah and its matrilineal ideology-Islamic law-have existed since the turn of this century.”

He added that preventing jihadist ideology is something that some state governments, including Kano, are trying to conduct inspections by imposing fines on Islamic clergy who spread inflammatory messages.

“However, this is a socio-political issue. As long as many of these states have poor economic performance and have little or no social programs to lift people out of poverty, extremist missionaries will always find a ready-made talent pool to recruit. ,” He says.

Bottom line

The lesson Nigeria has learned from the Afghanistan incident should not only be a military method, but also a method for the mind and well-being of people living on the border of Nigerian terrorists. The most effective weapon against insurgency is capable state support. The country’s economic, healthcare, and education policies will not make the rebellion an attractive career option for young men.

Recalling Nairametrics’ report in June, the World Bank stated that Nigeria’s poor job market poses a threat to the country’s economy and security.

“Like other developing countries with high informality, Nigeria’s official unemployment rate is a poor indicator of labor market outcomes, because unemployed workers receive very little public support, and even in marginal activities that generate low returns, maintain Employment incentives are also very attractive,” The World Bank reports.

“The informal service sector also provides employment, but it also usually provides low wages and limited job security or labor protection.

“In addition to the negative economic consequences, rising unemployment and underemployment are both causes and consequences of conflict and insecurity,” They warned.

Preventing the potential takeover of terrorist forces in northern Nigeria is both an economic war and a defensive issue, and Azuvela must take these lessons seriously.

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